Ideas and claims about decision making (collected edition)

A collection of ideas and claims published earlier on this blog. Clicking the picture will lead you to the original post.

Obvious solutions have already been found. However, they can be based on assumptions that do not hold. Questioning those assumptions is an effective means to developing new creative solutions.

Being creative at Systems Thinking Applied meeting.

If one doesn't know what she's after, she may well end up in wrong places.

Structure of the system in which one is acting determines the effects of her decisions. What should fundamentally matter, are the consequences to things that one values.

Career related choices are among the most important decisions for young educated people.

Decision making should be value-focused. Structuring values may help at becoming a better decision maker.

Should you make the decision now or delay it? 

Decision trees provide a valuable tool for structuring one's thinking about a decision. The ease of reversing a decision plays a major part in deciding how to deal with electromagnetic hypersensitivity.

Importance is only half of what should count in prioritization. 

Studying while working may enable better learning.

Threats to educational equality in Finland can be analyzed by considering the likelihoods and impacts of those threats.

Should most effort be put into what is 'most important'?

Everything could be better but we only have limited capabilities to fix and improve things. It is therefore important to ask how should we prioritize our efforts.

One idea you often hear is that we should put our efforts into what are the 'most important' things. What is considered important varies, for instance, finding a cure to a terrible disease is important because many people die from this disease. Fixing some societal problem is important because the problem causes much inequality among people. Developing friendly A.I. is important because evil A.I. could take over the world. Improving our educational system is important because it could have a huge impact on the productiveness of our society.

What is common for all of these, is that the possible benefits from solving the problem are very large. Although prioritization based on possible benefits can sometimes work as the rule of thumb it includes a pitfall: Even if we put a lot of effort into solving the very important problem, it might be that the problem won't be solved or the state of the world improves only very little.

Taking importance into account is a good start but including a second factor will greatly improve our prioritization ability.